Patterns in the Sky...Patterns in the Rain...
There is a lot of information available about Climate Change so I'm going to limit what I post here to articles that also relate Climate Change to some of the other issues I explore in these pages, like Scalar Weapons, Chemtrails and Peak Oil. If Scalar and 'weather modification' weapons are indeed out there and operational it is not unreasonable to link these devices to the current global issues of Climate Change and erratic and severe weather patterns. Also some would have it that Chemtrails are a secret project to mitigate against Climate Change and others go so far as to state that Climate Change is a solar system wide phenomena which the 'powers that be' are aware of and acting on.
Make your own mind up after reviewing the data, but what is not in doubt (except by those who remain in total denial) is that Climate Change is happening now and rapidly getting worse.
Could it be the Sun? - all other excuses could be just that, convenient excuses to help the powers that be sustain a capitalist consumer society and get us all 'carbon trading' and ever more firmly under their thumbs, when the reality is that Climate Change is way beyond our control as it is being caused by the Sun!
Perhaps we have reached the 'Tipping Point' of no return in regard to our global climate and we have no choice but to prepare and adapt. The articles below give a good general overview:
Global
warming, in capsule form
David Roberts, Gristmill
http://gristmill.grist.org/story/2005/10/18/16151/159
In accordance with Title 17
U.S.C. Section 107, this material is distributed without
profit to those who have expressed a prior interest in
receiving the included information for research and
educational purposes.
In the midst of a long post
on Montana Gov.
Brian Schweitzer's coal-to-liquid-fuel
plans,
Oil Drummer Stuart Staniford provides a handy
one-paragraph-long roundup of evidence on global warming.
The next time someone you know asks about it, just cut and
paste this paragraph and send it to them. Warming cliff
notes!
[W]e
are reaching the point where we can see that we are
starting to make massive, probably irreversible, changes to
our climate. The glaciers are
in full retreat almost everywhere, the
Arctic is
melting (with total melting of the
summer sea ice possible, though not certain,
as early as
2020),
the permafrost is
melting,
and releasing large amounts of methane, which is a
very powerful
global warming gas, while in the last thirty
years, droughts have
doubled due to warming, hurricanes
are much more
intense all over the globe, and are showing up in places
they never did
before in recorded history. Scientists have been
projecting
changes in ocean circulation, and lo-and-behold,
they are
starting to show up, including changes to
the North Atlantic Circulation, although major change here
was previously
thought unlikely this century. There is some possibility of
changes in deepwater circulation destabilizing
methane hydrates in the ocean, particularly in
South East
Asian deeps. Oh, and the Greenland ice sheet
is now melting much
faster than climatologists expected, and the West Antarctic ice
sheet is starting to
collapse, though again,
this was
previously thought unlikely. Also paleoclimatological
studies have made it clear that in the past the
climate abruptly
flipped between modes, sometimes with dramatic
change in as little as
three years. And we are making
rapid changes
in carbon dioxide, known to be critically
important in regulating the temperature of this sensitive
climatic system for a century
now.
As he says, "maybe there's some scientific doubt still on
any individual piece of the picture, but the gestalt is
starting to look extremely alarming."
Yes.
This page will highlight current news stories and
information on Climate Change from a variety of sources,
starting here with a couple of recent articles in the
mainstream media. Firstly from the Independent newspaper in
the UK
"some
of the more spectacular solutions proposed, such as melting
the Arctic ice cap by covering it with black soot or
diverting arctic rivers.."
The Cooling World
By Peter Gwynne
There are ominous signs that the Earth’s
weather patterns have begun to change dramatically and that
these changes may portend a drastic decline in food
production — with serious political implications for just
about every nation on Earth. The drop in food output could
begin quite soon, perhaps only 10 years from now. The
regions destined to feel its impact are the great
wheat-producing lands of Canada and the U.S.S.R. in the
North, along with a number of marginally self-sufficient
tropical areas — parts of India, Pakistan, Bangladesh,
Indochina and Indonesia — where the growing season is
dependent upon the rains brought by the
monsoon.
The evidence in support of these predictions
has now begun to accumulate so massively that
meteorologists are hard-pressed to keep up with it. In
England, farmers have seen their growing season decline by
about two weeks since 1950, with a resultant overall loss
in grain production estimated at up to 100,000 tons
annually.
During the same time, the average temperature
around the equator has risen by a fraction of a degree — a
fraction that in some areas can mean drought and
desolation. Last April, in the most devastating outbreak of
tornadoes ever recorded, 148 twisters killed more than 300
people and caused half a billion dollars’ worth of damage
in 13 U.S. states.
To scientists, these seemingly disparate
incidents represent the advance signs of fundamental
changes in the world’s weather. Meteorologists disagree
about the cause and extent of the trend, as well as over
its specific impact on local weather conditions. But they
are almost unanimous in the view that the trend will reduce
agricultural productivity for the rest of the century. If
the climatic change is as profound as some of the
pessimists fear, the resulting famines could be
catastrophic.
“A major climatic change would force economic
and social adjustments on a worldwide scale,” warns a
recent report by the National Academy of Sciences, “because
the global patterns of food production and population that
have evolved are implicitly dependent on the climate of the
present century.”
A survey completed last year by Dr. Murray
Mitchell of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration reveals a drop of half a degree in average
ground temperatures in the Northern Hemisphere between 1945
and 1968. According to George Kukla of Columbia University,
satellite photos indicated a sudden, large increase in
Northern Hemisphere snow cover in the winter of 1971-72.
And a study released last month by two NOAA scientists
notes that the amount of sunshine reaching the ground in
the continental U.S. diminished by 1.3% between 1964 and
1972.
To the layman, the relatively small changes
in temperature and sunshine can be highly misleading. Reid
Bryson of the University of Wisconsin points out that the
Earth’s average temperature during the great Ice Ages was
only about seven degrees lower than during its warmest eras
— and that the present decline has taken the planet about a
sixth of the way toward the Ice Age
average.
Others regard the cooling as a reversion to
the “little ice age” conditions that brought bitter winters
to much of Europe and northern America between 1600 and
1900 — years when the Thames used to freeze so solidly that
Londoners roasted oxen on the ice and when iceboats sailed
the Hudson River almost as far south as New York
City.
Just what causes the onset of major and minor
ice ages remains a mystery. “Our knowledge of the
mechanisms of climatic change is at least as fragmentary as
our data,” concedes the National Academy of Sciences
report. “Not only are the basic scientific questions
largely unanswered, but in many cases we do not yet know
enough to pose the key questions.”
Meteorologists think that they can forecast
the short-term results of the return to the norm of the
last century. They begin by noting the slight drop in
overall temperature that produces large numbers of pressure
centers in the upper atmosphere. These break up the smooth
flow of westerly winds over temperate areas. The stagnant
air produced in this way causes an increase in extremes of
local weather such as droughts, floods, extended dry
spells, long freezes, delayed monsoons and even local
temperature increases — all of which have a direct impact
on food supplies.
“The world’s food-producing system,” warns
Dr. James D. McQuigg of NOAA’s Center for Climatic and
Environmental Assessment, “is much more sensitive to the
weather variable than it was even five years
ago.”
Furthermore, the growth of world population
and creation of new national boundaries make it impossible
for starving peoples to migrate from their devastated
fields, as they did during past famines.
Climatologists are pessimistic that political
leaders will take any positive action to compensate for the
climatic change, or even to allay its
effects.
They concede that some of the more
spectacular solutions proposed, such as melting the Arctic
ice cap by covering it with black soot or diverting arctic
rivers, might create problems far greater than those they
solve. But the scientists see few signs that government
leaders anywhere are even prepared to take the simple
measures of stockpiling food or of introducing the
variables of climatic uncertainty into economic projections
of future food supplies. The longer the planners delay, the
more difficult will they find it to cope with climatic
change once the results become grim
reality.
Newsweek’s 1975 Article About
The Coming Ice Age
http://sweetness-light.com/archive/newsweeks-1975-article-about-the-coming-ice-age
"Earth" (noun) - from ancient
Alien language, meaning 'Planet of
Idiots'
http://news.independent.co.uk/world/environment/article316604.ece
Melting
Planet
Species
are dying out faster than we have dared recognise,
scientists will warn this week. The erosion of polar ice is
the first break in a fragile chain of life extending across
the planet, from bears in the north to penguins in the far
south
By Andrew
Buncombe in Anchorage and Severin Carrell in London
Published: 02 October 2005
The
polar bear is one of the natural world's most famous
predators - the king of the Arctic wastelands. But, like
its vast Arctic home, the polar bear is under unprecedented
threat. Both are disappearing with alarming speed.
Thinning ice and longer summers are destroying the bears'
habitat, and as the ice floes shrink, the desperate animals
are driven by starvation into human settlements - to be
shot. Stranded polar bears are drowning in large numbers as
they try to swim hundreds of miles to find increasingly
scarce ice floes. Local hunters find their corpses floating
on seas once coated in a thick skin of ice.
It is a phenomenon that frightens the native people that
live around the Arctic. Many fear their children will never
know the polar bear. "The ice is moving further and further
north," said Charlie Johnson, 64, an Alaskan Nupiak from
Nome, in the state's far west. "In the Bering Sea the ice
leaves earlier and earlier. On the north slope, the ice is
retreating as far as 300 or 400 miles offshore."
Last year, hunters found half a dozen bears that had
drowned about 200 miles north of Barrow, on Alaska's
northern coast. "It seems they had tried to swim for shore
... A polar bear might be able to swim 100 miles but not
400."
His alarming testimony, given at a conference on global
warming and native communities held in the Alaskan capital,
Anchorage, last week, is just one story of the many changes
happening across the globe. Climate change threatens the
survival of thousands of species - a threat unparalleled
since the last ice age, which ended some 10,000 years ago.
The vast majority, scientists will warn this week, are
migratory animals - sperm whales, polar bears, gazelles,
garden birds and turtles - whose survival depends on the
intricate web of habitats, food supplies and weather
conditions which, for some species, can stretch for 6,500
miles. Every link of that chain is slowly but perceptibly
altering.
Europe's most senior ecologists and conservationists are
meeting in Aviemore, in the Scottish Highlands, this week
for a conference on the impact of climate change on
migratory species, an event organised by the British
government as part of its presidency of the European Union.
It is a well-chosen location. Aviemore's major winter
employer - skiing - is a victim of warmer winters. Ski
slopes in the Cairngorms, which once had snow caps year
round on the highest peaks, have recently been closed down
when the winter snow failed. The snow bunting, ptarmigan
and dotterel - some of Scotland's rarest birds - are also
given little chance of survival as their harsh and marginal
winter environments disappear.
A report being presented this week in Aviemore reveals this
is a pattern being repeated around the world. In the
sub-Arctic tundra,caribou are threatened by "multiple
climate change impacts". Deeper snow at higher latitudes
makes it harder for caribou herds to travel. Faster and
more regular "freeze-thaw" cycles make it harder to dig out
food under thick crusts of ice-covered snow. Wetter and
warmer winters are cutting calving success, and increasing
insect attacks and disease.
The same holds true for migratory wading birds such as the
red knot and the northern seal. The endangered spoon-billed
sandpiper, too, faces extinction, the report says. They are
of "key concern". It says that species "cannot shift
further north as their climates become warmer. They have
nowhere left to go ... We can see, very clearly, that most
migratory species are drifting towards the poles."
The report, passed to The Independent on Sunday, and
commissioned by the Department for the Environment, Food
and Rural Affairs (Defra), makes gloomy predictions about
the world's animal populations. "The habitats of migratory
species most vulnerable to climate change were found to be
tundra, cloud forest, sea ice and low-lying coastal areas,"
it states. "Increased droughts and lowered water tables,
particularly in key areas used as 'staging posts' on
migration, were also identified as key threats stemming
from climate change."
Some of itsfindings include:
* Four out of five migratory birds listed by the UN face
problems ranging from lower water tables to increased
droughts, spreading deserts and shifting food supplies in
their crucial "fuelling stations" as they migrate.
* One-third of turtle nesting sites in the Caribbean - home
to diminishing numbers of green, hawksbill and loggerhead
turtles - would be swamped by a sea level rise of 50cm
(20ins). This will "drastically" hit their numbers. At the
same time, shallow waters used by the endangered
Mediterranean monk seal, dolphins, dugongs and manatees
will slowly disappear.
* Whales, salmon, cod, penguins and kittiwakes are affected
by shifts in distribution and abundance of krill and
plankton, which has "declined in places to a hundredth or
thousandth of former numbers because of warmer sea-surface
temperatures."
* Increased dam building, a response to water shortages and
growing demand, is affecting the natural migration patterns
of tucuxi, South American river dolphins, "with potentially
damaging results".
* Fewer chiffchaffs, blackbirds, robins and song thrushes
are migrating from the UK due to warmer winters. Egg-laying
is also getting two to three weeks earlier than 30 years
ago, showing a change in the birds' biological clocks.
The science magazine Nature predicted last year that up to
37 per cent of terrestrial species could become extinct by
2050. And the Defra report presents more problems than
solutions. Tackling these crises will be far more
complicated than just building more nature reserves - a
problem that Jim Knight, the nature conservation minister,
acknowledges.
A key issue in sub-Saharan Africa, for instance, is
profound poverty. After visiting the Democratic Republic of
the Congo last month, Mr Knight found it difficult to
condemn local people eating gorillas, already endangered.
"You can't blame an individual who doesn't know how they're
going to feed their family every day from harvesting what's
around them. That's a real challenge," he said.
And the clash between nature and human need - a critical
issue across Africa - is likely to worsen. As its savannah
and forests begin shifting south, migratory animals will
shift along with them. Some of the continent's major
national parks and reserves - such as the Masai-Mara or
Serengeti - may also have to move their boundaries if their
game species, the elephant and wildebeest, are to be
properly protected. This will bring conflict with local
communities.
There is also a gap in scientific knowledge between what
has been discovered about the impact of climate change in
the industrialised world and in less developed countries.
Similarly, fisheries experts know more about species such
as cod and haddock, than they do about fish humans don't
eat.
Many environmentalists are pessimistic about the prospects
of halting, let alone reversing, this trend. "Are we
fighting a losing battle? Yes, we probably are," one
naturalist told the IoS last month.
The UK, which is attempting to put climate change at the
top of the global agenda during its presidency of the G8
group of industrialised nations, is still struggling to
persuade the American, Japanese and Australian governments
to admit that mankind's gas emissions are the biggest
threat. These three continue to insist there is no proof
that climate change is largely manmade.
And many British environmentalists suspect that Tony
Blair's public commitment to a tougher global treaty to
replace the Kyoto Protocol, aimed at a 60 per cent cut in
carbon dioxide emissions by 2050, is not being backed up by
the Government in private.
Despite President George Bush's resistance to a new global
climate treaty, many US states are being far more radical.
Even the G8 communiqué after the Gleneagles summit in July
had Mr Bush confirming that the climate was warming.
In Alaska last week, satellite images released by two US
universities and the space agency Nasa revealed that the
amount of sea-ice cover over the polar ice cap has fallen
for the past four years. "A long-term decline is under
way," said Walt Meier of the National Snow and Ice Data
Centre.
The Arctic's native communities don't need satellite images
to tell them this. John Keogak, 47, an Inuvialuit from
Canada's North-West Territories, hunts polar bears, seals,
caribou and musk ox. "The polar bear is part of our
culture," he said. "They use the ice as a hunting ground
for the seals. If there is no ice there is no way the bears
will be able to catch the seals." He said the number of
bears was decreasing and feared his children might not be
able to hunt them. He said: "There is an earlier break-up
of ice, a later freeze-up. Now it's more rapid. Something
is happening."
And now, said Mr Keogak, there was evidence that polar
bears are facing an unusual competitor - the grizzly bear.
As the sub-Arctic tundra and wastelands thaw, the grizzly
is moving north, colonising areas where they were
previously unable to survive. Life for Alaska's polar bears
is rapidly becoming very precarious.
Vanishing
from the earth
Mountain
gorilla
Already listed as "critically endangered", only about 700
mountain gorillas, including the distinctively marked adult
male silverbacks, migrate within the cloud forests of the
volcanic Virunga mountains of the Democratic Republic of
the Congo, Rwanda and Uganda. After a century of human
persecution it faced extinction. Now its unique but
marginal mountain forests - already heavily reduced by
forestry - are shrinking, because of climate change. It
will be forced to climb higher for cooler climates, but
will effectively run out of mountain.
Across Africa, habitats are shifting as temperatures rise,
or disappearing in droughts, affecting the migrations of
millions of wildebeest, and savannah elephant and Thomson's
gazelle. This will hit game reserves and national parks -
forcing many to move their boundaries.
Green
turtle
The number of male green turtles is falling because of
rising temperatures, threatening their survival. Turtle
nests need a temperature of precisely 28.8C to hatch even
numbers of males and females. On Ascension Island, where
nest temperatures are up 0.5C,females now outnumber males
three to one. On Antigua too, nest temperatures for
hawkbill turtles are higher than the ideal incubation
level. Hatchling survival rates are also cut by higher
temperatures. Egg-laying beaches for all species of turtle
are being lost to rising sea levels. A third of nesting
beaches in the Caribbean would be lost by a 50cm rise in
sea level.
Saiga
antelope
This rare antelope, thought to be half-way between an
antelope and a sheep, and found in Russia and Mongolia, is
"critically endangered". Hunted heavily, its autumn
migration to escape bitter weather and spring migration to
find water and food are being hit by unusual weather
cycles. The antelope will be forced by climate instability
to find new grazing areas, coming intoconflict with humans.
Bad years can cut its numbers by 50 per cent, because of
high mortality and poor birth rates.
Sperm
whale
The migration of the sperm whale, one of the earth's
largest mammals, made famous by Herman Melville's
epic
Moby-Dick,
is closely linked to the squid, its main food source. Squid
numbers are affected by warmer water and weather phenomena
such as El Niño. Adult male sperm whales up to 20m long
like cold water in the disappearing ice-packs. Warm water
cuts sperm whale reproduction because food supplies fall.
Around the Galapagos Islands, a fall in births is linked to
higher sea surface temperatures. Plankton and krill, key
foods for many cetaceans such as the pilot whale, have in
some regions declined 100-fold in warmer water.
AND ONE FROM THE NEW YORK
TIMES
Arctic Could
Be Ice-Free By Century's End... 500,000 Extra Square Miles
Melted This Year
In
a Melting Trend, Less Arctic Ice to Go Around
The New York Times
September
29, 2005
By ANDREW C. REVKIN
http://www.nytimes.com/2005/09/29/science/29ice.html?ex=1285646400&
en=7b3487fa5bc2d915&ei=5090&partner=rssuserland&emc=rss
In accordance with Title 17
U.S.C. Section 107, this material is distributed without
profit to those who have expressed a prior interest in
receiving the included information for research and
educational purposes.
The floating cap of sea ice on
the Arctic Ocean shrank this summer to what is probably its
smallest size in at least a century of record keeping,
continuing a trend toward less summer ice, a team of
climate experts reported yesterday.
That shift is hard to explain without attributing it in
part to human-caused global warming, the team's members and
other experts on the region said.
The change also appears to be headed toward becoming
self-sustaining: the increased open water absorbs solar
energy that would otherwise be reflected back into space by
bright white ice, said Ted A. Scambos, a scientist at the
National Snow and Ice Data Center in Boulder, Colo., which
compiled the data along with the National Aeronautics and
Space Administration.
"Feedbacks in the system are starting to take hold," Dr.
Scambos said.
The data was released on the center's Web site,
www.nsidc.org.
The findings are consistent with recent computer
simulations showing that a buildup of smokestack and
tailpipe emissions of greenhouse gases could lead to a
profoundly transformed Arctic later this century, when much
of the once ice-locked ocean would routinely become open
water in summers.
Expanding areas of open water in the summer could be a boon
to whales and cod stocks, and the ice retreat could create
summertime shipping shortcuts between the Atlantic and the
Pacific.
But a host of troubles lie ahead as well. One of the most
important consequences of Arctic warming will be increased
flows of meltwater and icebergs from glaciers and ice
sheets, and thus an accelerated rise in sea levels,
threatening coastal areas. The loss of sea ice could also
hurt both polar bears and Eskimo seal hunters.
The Arctic ice cap always grows in the winter and shrinks
in the summer. The average minimum area from 1979, when
precise satellite mapping began, until 2000 was 2.69
million square miles, similar in size to the contiguous
area of the United States. The new summer low, measured on
Sept. 19, was 20 percent below that.
Before 1979, scientists estimated the size of the ice cap
based on reports from ships and airplanes.
The difference between the average ice area and the area
that persisted this summer was about 500,000 square miles,
an area about twice the size of Texas, the scientists said.
This summer was the fourth in a row with the ice cap areas
sharply below the long-term average, said Mark C. Serreze,
a senior scientist at the snow and ice center and a
professor at the University of Colorado, Boulder.
Dr. Scambos said the consecutive reductions in the ice cap
"make it pretty certain a long-term decline is under way."
A natural cycle in the polar atmosphere called the Arctic
oscillation, which contributed to the reduction in Arctic
ice in the past, did not appear to be a factor in the past
several years, Dr. Serreze said.
He said the role of accumulating greenhouse gas emissions
had become increasingly apparent with rising air and sea
temperatures. Still, many scientists say it is not yet
possible to determine what portion of Arctic change is
being caused by rising levels of carbon dioxide and other
emissions from human sources and how much is just climate's
usual wiggles.
Dr. Serreze and other scientists said that more variability
could lie ahead and that the area of sea ice could actually
increase some years. But the scientists have found few
hints that other factors, like more Arctic cloudiness in a
warming world, will reverse the trend.
"With all that dark open water, you start to see an
increase in Arctic Ocean heat storage," Dr. Serreze said.
"Come autumn and winter that makes it a lot harder to grow
ice, and the next spring you're left with less and thinner
ice. And it's easier to lose even more the next year."
The result, he said, is that the Arctic is "becoming a
profoundly different place than we grew up thinking about."
Other experts on Arctic ice and climate disagreed on
details. For example, Ignatius G. Rigor at the University
of Washington said the change was probably linked to a mix
of factors, including influences of the atmospheric cycle.
But he agreed with Dr. Serreze that the influence from
greenhouse gases had to be involved.
"The global warming idea has to be a good part of the
story," Dr. Rigor said. "I think we have a different
climate state in the Arctic now. All of these feedbacks are
starting to kick in and really snuffing the ice out by the
end of summer."
Other experts expressed some caution. Claire L. Parkinson,
a sea ice expert at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center in
Greenbelt, Md., said a host of changes in the Arctic -
including rising temperatures, melting permafrost and
shrinking sea ice - were consistent with human-caused
warming. But she emphasized that the complicated system was
still far from completely understood.
William L. Chapman, a sea ice researcher at the University
of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, said it was important to keep
in mind that the size of the ice cap could vary
tremendously, in part because of changes in wind patterns,
which can cause the ice to heap up against one Arctic shore
or drift away from another.
Water crisis
looms as Himalayan glaciers melt
NEW DELHI,
India (Reuters) -- Imagine a world without drinking
water
CNN
http://www.cnn.com/2005/TECH/science/09/09/himalayan.glaciers.reut/index.html
In accordance with Title 17
U.S.C. Section 107, this material is distributed without
profit to those who have expressed a prior interest in
receiving the included information for research and
educational purposes.
It's a scary thought, but
scientists say the 40 percent of humanity living in South
Asia and China could well be living with little drinking
water within 50 years as global warming melts Himalayan
glaciers, the region's main water
source.
The glaciers
supply 303.6 million cubic feet every year to Asian rivers,
including the Yangtze and Yellow rivers in China, the Ganga
in India, the Indus in Pakistan, the Brahmaputra in
Bangladesh and Burma's Irrawaddy.
But as global warming increases, the glaciers have been
rapidly retreating, with average temperatures in the
Himalayas up 1 degree Celsius since the 1970s.
A World Wide Fund report published in March said a quarter
of the world's glaciers could disappear by 2050 and half by
2100.
"If
the current scenario continues, there will be very little
water left in the Ganga and its tributaries," Prakash Rao,
climate change and energy program coordinator with the fund
in India told Reuters.
"The
situation here is more critical because here they depend on
glaciers for drinking water while in other areas there are
other sources of drinking water, not just
glacial."
Experts
are alarmed.
About 67 percent of the nearly 12,124 square miles of
Himalayan glaciers are receding and in the long run as the
ice diminishes, glacial runoffs in summer and river flows
will also go down, leading to severe water shortages in the
region.
The Gangotri glacier, the source of the Ganga, India's
holiest river, is retreating 75 feet a year. And the Khumbu
Glacier in Nepal, where Edmund Hillary and Tenzing Norgay
began their ascent of Everest, has lost more than 3 miles
since they climbed the mountain in 1953.
"The
cry in the mountains is that water has gone down and
springs have dried up," Jagdish Bahadur, an expert on
Himalayan glaciers.
"Global
climate change has had an effect, but water has also dried
up because agriculture in the mountains has increased," he
said.
In
Nepal, there are more than 3,000 glaciers that work as
reservoirs for fresh water and another 2,000 glacial lakes.
Experts estimate numerous rivers originating in Nepal's
mountains contribute about 70 percent to the pre-monsoon
flow of the Ganges that snakes through neighboring India
and Bangladesh.
"The
glaciers are shrinking due to global warming posing a risk
to water availability not only in Nepal but also in parts
of South Asia," said Arun Bhakta Shrestha, an expert on
Himalayan glaciers at the government Hydrology and
Meteorology Department.
"But
how soon or to what extent this problem will arise is
difficult to say now."
Tulsi
Maya, a farmer on the outskirts of Kathmandu, has never
heard of global warming or its impact on the rivers in the
Himalayan kingdom, but she does know that the flow of water
has gone down.
"It
used to overflow its banks and spill into the fields," the
85-year-old farmer said standing in her emerald green rice
field as she looked at the Bishnumati river, which has
ceased to be a reliable source of drinking water and
irrigation.
"Maybe
God is unkind and sends less water in the river. The flow
of water is decreasing every year," she said standing by
her grandson, Milan Dangol, who weeds the
crop.
In
the Indian Himalayas, there are already signs of water
shortages in the summer: Tourists in the rugged mountains
of Ladakh and Himachal Pradesh have to carry buckets of
water while trekkers say temperatures are much warmer than
a decade ago.
The effect can also be seen in the rest of the country.
During the summer, thousands of people in India's villages
trek for miles in search of water and even in cities water
is a precious commodity, sometimes leading to street
fights.
Indian scientists studying Himalayan glaciers fear an acute
shortage of natural drinking water in Himachal Pradesh
state based on studies of the Beas and Baspa basins from
1962 to 2001.
Two scientists from India's Space and Research Organization
using remote sensing satellites found a 23 percent drop in
glacial water in 19 of 30 glaciers mapped in the region.
Already, the impact of climate change is evident in the
soaring summer temperatures in South Asia, which go up to
122 degrees Fahrenheit, and the erratic nature of the
monsoon, one of the world's most widely watched phenomena.
"Our
research indicates the economy of the region may be
affected due to these conditions and investigations suggest
that all glaciers are reducing which could create an acute
scarcity of water," said Anil Kulkarni, who headed the team
studying the Himachal Pradesh glaciers.
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2005
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